Looking behind a poll that shows – gasp! – a Democrat leading in Sixth District

Oh, dear. My heavens. Good gosh. A poll of the Sixth District congressional race shows Democrat Jon Ossoff in the lead, doing better than Republican Karen Handel. Wait, wait — we’re not doing this right. Better:

Ossoff at 32 percent! Handel at 25 percent! Bob Gray at 11 percent! Democrats are marching, spreading chaos and mayhem, and there’s nothing Republicans can do but panic!logo-GB

Or, if you’re the Handel campaign, put out a fund-raising email:

“National Democrats have placed a large target on Karen’s campaign, and the poll numbers show they’re going all-in against Karen. Will you step up right now to fight back against Nancy Pelosi and her liberal allies?”

The poll that Handel cites was conducted by Clout Research of Dublin, Ohio. It first appeared on Monday at zpolitics.com. You can find the questions and crosstabs by clicking here.

We’re not saying the poll was rigged. But we are saying that if you wanted to rig a poll to portray all Republicans in the race as underdogs and thus in desperate need of campaign cash, this would be one way to do it.

The April 18 race to replace U.S. Rep. Tom Price, R-Roswell, is a non-partisan special election, but is being conducted in a heavily Republican congressional district. There are 18 candidates, including five Democrats and 11 Republicans. The Clout Research poll listed only six candidates – not just by name, but by party:

— Republican Bob Gray;

— Republican Karen Handel;

— Republican Judson Hill;

— Republican Bruce LeVell:

— Republican Dan Moody;

— Democrat Jon Ossoff;

— Someone else/Don’t know.

See what happened? Clout Research did what the Georgia Democratic party itself only dreams it could do – funnel all Democratic votes into the arms of a single candidate. Thus boosting his total.

Actually, Ossoff is under performing here. Democrat Hillary Clinton took 47 percent in the Sixth District just last November. (Donald Trump won it with 48 percent.)

The remaining five Republican candidates in the poll split the rest of the vote. Handel has the name recognition, so her 25 percent share is quite reasonable – and not at all worth panicking over.

An era of fake news and weaponized polls requires all of us to be just a little more astute than usual. Caveat lector.


***

Speaking of the Sixth District race: Republican state Sen. Judson Hill of Marietta has picked up the endorsement of Georgia Right to Life.

***

The star power didn’t do much for Democrat Hillary Clinton, but Jon Ossoff has some celebrity support for his 6th District congressional bid:

***

Georgia Alliance for Social Justice and MoveOn.org are hosting a “town hall” protest in front of U.S. Sen. David Perdue’s Peachtree Street office at 12:30 p.m. today.

***

The Democratic National Committee will gather in Atlanta for a three-day meeting that starts Thursday. The locale will be the Westin Peachtree downtown – except on Saturday.

That’s when the party’s new national chairman will be chosen. An overflow crowd of witnesses is expected, and so the festivities will be moved to the nearby AmericasMart facility.

***

Here’s a press release worth paying attention to:

WSB-TV will partner with the Miller Institute for Public Policy to produce a primetime special celebrating 25 years of the HOPE Scholarship and Pre-K in Georgia. Local news legends Monica Pearson and John Pruitt will host the primetime special that pays tribute to Gov. Zell Miller. The two will also emcee the inaugural Miller Legacy Dinner in Atlanta on Feb. 28, the Miller Institute for Public Policy announced today.

 

“This partnership with WSB-TV allows us to educate the public on the success of the HOPE Scholarship and Pre-K. These programs represent the signature achievements of my grandfather’s administration,” said Bryan Miller, chairman of the Miller Institute.

Here’s the current invite:

zellinvite

Reader Comments 0

27 comments
Rick Dorminy
Rick Dorminy

Where was your concern about polls last year? Whiny AJC.

Issac Reid
Issac Reid

If they think rational people are going to continue to vote for this. They are wrong.

Elizabeth Hopehoho Turner
Elizabeth Hopehoho Turner

POLLS ARE CRAP! WORK like you are 25 points behind all the time or you will get TRUMPED and we will be so screwed!

Ellen Rafshoon
Ellen Rafshoon

Polls Schmolls. Not rigged but flawed methods now that no one uses landlines.

Diane Davis
Diane Davis

Wake up and realize that there are card carrying Republicans who feel Trump needs to be reined in by anyone who has a backbone to stand up against his dictatorial methods. If only a democrat will do so then so be it.

Nancy Alford
Nancy Alford

Hope it does not work out. They may be a good person but we can not afford to vote for a Democrat no matter how good they are. Just look at what they have let happen to our country....they must follow the party line and not vote their own convictions.Hopefully we can save our country.

Kate Armstrong Lee
Kate Armstrong Lee

Republicans have been in majority in Congress and governorships and state legislatures (34 states? Maybe not exact number, but close). Blame the party in power.

Traci McNulty Snipes
Traci McNulty Snipes

"No matter how good they are"? So if they are good for the country, it does not matter? Even I (a democrat) would vote for a moderate republican over a terrible democrat. The party line vote is detrimental to our country.

George Mortensen
George Mortensen

If the AJC actually believe the 6th will go blue, they are delusional. Oh...that's right...they are!

Craig Barfield
Craig Barfield

The Dems smell blood and are pouring a lot of money into this race to try and wrestle it from the repubs.

Michael Ferrari
Michael Ferrari

When is the AJC going to realize we dont believe any poll. They are all rigged. But it is nice to see they are at least trying to be objective about the poll.

Trude Sansbury
Trude Sansbury

People, in order to make this right again, you must vote! Every time you get a chance to vote one out you need to march in and do just that.

Mike Davis
Mike Davis

If it comes from the AJC its fake news. They had Hillary leading in Georgia and the liberals in Georgia were going crazy.Trump won by a huge margin

Rod Miller
Rod Miller

Was it by one of the same pollsters that showed President Hillary winning by a wide margin?

Brian Haulk
Brian Haulk

Larry Clark just like the polls that Said Hillary was going to Beat Trump? Lol

Nick Goodson
Nick Goodson

I don't trust Georgia elections , with our technology it should not be an issue to verify your vote

David K Wilson
David K Wilson

LOL gasp.. who bothers with politcal polls any more?

Ken Murphy
Ken Murphy

Everyone knows that the demorats are the only ones who put out fake polls to manipulate low information voters. Just look at the 2016 election results and the polls leading up to it.

Smith Ellen
Smith Ellen

So, is there an honest poll yet? This is where the fact checking needs to begin because campaign rhetoric is just that - exaggerations to get your attention and hook you to the DONATE button ;)

Habrams01
Habrams01

The lead won't last.  Same kind of poll that had Hillary ahead by 10 points in late October 2016.  Doesn't carry any weight.