Republicans catch up to Democrats in Georgia special election early voting

Republican voters in Georgia’s special election have caught up to the hefty advantage that Democrats built in early voting, according to two elections analyses, and are poised to take the lead on Friday.

Democrat Jon Ossoff’s campaign for the suburban Atlanta district was buoyed by early numbers that gave left-leaning voters a sizable lead in the early voting. But that’s all but vanished as the Tuesday election nears and more early voting sites open.

One reason the Democratic voter numbers may have stalled: While Democrats appeared to quickly consolidate around Ossoff, the leading contender of five Democrats on the ballot, Republicans may have taken longer to choose between the 11 GOP contenders on the ballot.

Nate Cohn, the New York Times polling expert, tweeted that roughly 42 percent of the 46,000 or so early ballots cast are from Democratic-leaning voters, while Republican-leaning voters have cast 41 percent of the ballots. He predicted Republicans will take the lead on Friday, the final day of early voting.

That’s in line with the analysis of Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientists who also crunched the numbers.

The early voting numbers are far from fool-proof, but they are considered an indicator of voter enthusiasm. And they could complicate Ossoff’s goal of winning the race outright on Tuesday by getting a majority of the vote. In the mid-40s in most of the polls, the Democrat hopes a late push can close the gap.

Ossoff told students at Georgia Tech that his internal polling and early voting numbers show there’s still an opening to win the 18-candidate race outright on Tuesday and avoid a head-to-head June 20 matchup against a Republican.

“The early voting numbers and our internal polling continue to demonstrate that this is winnable on Tuesday,” he said, “but it’s only winnable if we sprint through the finish line with more intensity, more passion and less sleep than any other campaign out there.”

More AJC coverage of the Sixth District race:

Nearly $14M in ads have flooded Georgia’s Sixth for special election

Ossoff pulls in record donations for Georgia special election

Georgia Democrats, Republicans seek lessons in tight Kansas race

With Ossoff at the gates, Republicans try to fortify Georgia’s Sixth

Ossoff fights ‘top-secret’ attacks in Georgia special election

Staff raids and social media hijinks: GOP infighting ramps up in Georgia Sixth

In the final week, Karen Handel becomes a target for GOP rivals

Reader Comments 0

81 comments
Sam Nicholas
Sam Nicholas

The GA GOP are morons and it's time for them to get thinned out a bit. Not all GAns own yachts for big tax breaks.

Robert Bass
Robert Bass

Get rid of all liberals, they should be stopped in their tracks all over this country.

Larry Eugene Teal
Larry Eugene Teal

Don't embarrass us again with someone like Tom Price. OMG!!!

Frank Shirley
Frank Shirley

I like the NRA ads about Comrade Ossoffsky...he would be another gun-grabber in Washington.

Barbara Austen Cheng
Barbara Austen Cheng

For so many races - Price ran unopposed or opposed by weak candidates - so I don't think people really know how most voters lean in the sixth. People say we're a red district, but most liberal voters have just never had a voice. This is the first election where we do and there are far more of us in the sixth than people realize. I genuinely hope Ossoff wins because I like my taxes going for government services my family relies on rather than corporate, Wall Street and billionaire tax breaks. I also like having a voice as a constituent with someone who is actually interested in doing their job serving constituents rather than rising in party ranks and making money. We'll see if Ossoff wins, but so far I like what I see. Now we have a real race in the 6th. Voters are mobilized on both sides ... And wouldn't it be great to actually have a representative who actually listens to ALL of us - no matter what our views? So far Republicans only seem interested in Republicans and not me - despite me as a taxpayer paying their bills ... Go Ossoff. I want something back for my taxes ...

Sandra Lord-Drakes
Sandra Lord-Drakes

Marc Craven, you represent both. Your punctuation and spelling need improvement.

Chantelle Gaskin
Chantelle Gaskin

^^^ \U0001f602\U0001f602\U0001f602 i love when irony happens!!!

Marc Craven
Marc Craven

You don't know the difference in ignorance and dumb.. You're dumb not ignorant.. See the difference? You uneducable

Emmie Lynn
Emmie Lynn

Come on Republicans, please vote and let's send the Socialist democrats packing. They are against everything America stands for!

John Woods
John Woods

Wait until those of us that work get off and go vote...

Joan Bearden
Joan Bearden

Don't trust Ossoff.. Ossoff is a Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reed yes man planted in our state. Don't be fooled by him or these liberal Democrats. Crooked Politicians.

Stephen Chabot
Stephen Chabot

That's how this works. First the people with no jobs vote then every one gets off work and votes.

Jeffrey Douglas Beard
Jeffrey Douglas Beard

It's not true, Dems and libs scrambling to get handle on why there swirling down the drain.

Darlene Stokes Gordon Dunn
Darlene Stokes Gordon Dunn

We need someone to stand up for democracy and not sit there and be con by #45 and his swamp team.

Fred Koenig
Fred Koenig

Give Ossoff the brush off! No more Liberals in Congress! After 8 years of King O'Bummer and his Court of Fools, we can't allow even one small step backwards to those bad ol days when we were the laughing stock of the world!

Martha Heath Johnson
Martha Heath Johnson

Fred, if caring for the least of these among us from the cradle to the grave is the definition of a liberal, we plead guilty! Our platform is more like the teachings of JESUS CHRIST, in whom most of us believe! I can't say the same thing about most Republicans who profess to be Christians! I rather SEE a sermon than to HEAR one any day! Remember the adage actions speak louder than words?

Howard Smith
Howard Smith

Seriously, this was after President Obama brought the country back from the worst economic disaster in our country since the Great Depression. That was when another Democrat President saved us...FDR. This time it was President Obama who helped us recover from what economist call the "Great Recession" of the failed Republican presidency of GW Bush. You might also remember his 2 plus TRILLION dollar unnecessary war looking for mythical WMD's...let me know when those turn up.Under Obama, the stock market more than doubled, our financial, auto and housing industries rebounded from near collapse, we experienced the longest continuous streak of monthly job growth in American history, the budget deficit was reduced and more people were covered by medical insurance than ever in our history. Now, you folks have elected a lying, cheating, draft dodging, bankupt filing sexual, harassing, name calling, thin skinned, fraud sued, twitter in chief who will spend more in one year on his almost weekly long weekend golf vacations than President Obama spent vacationing in 8 years. And, let me know when Mexico sends the check for the wall....You guys aren't so much deplorable as gullible.

Evan Wallace
Evan Wallace

I think you're confused - NOW we're the laughing stock of the world

Bernard Basiliere Jr.
Bernard Basiliere Jr.

FRED was a troll . Let me tell you like it is if you don`t want to never again have your rights according to the constitution then keep your repubs in office. As conservatives your main goal is smaller government not its breakup. The way its going right now we will end up with a monarcy that will end this country and put us into another civil war. Remember that I said this .

Jackie Lovett
Jackie Lovett

You don't even live in the 6th, stop trolling.

Bobbie Culbreath
Bobbie Culbreath

Will Jones CONGRATULATIONS you have found yet another group of people to hate on. Amazing, once it starts it doesn't stop. Poor , poor you and your empty heart.

Will Jones
Will Jones

Martha Heath Johnson Don't need a (((Christ-killer))) raised from birth to believe all Whites and Blacks are "sub-human animals" "Goyim" "a mindless herd of cattle" their duty is "to lie to, cheat, rob, enslave, and kill, with impunity" "because they are gods chosen by God to rule the world." Ossoff's manner says that's what he believes. That's what ninety-percent of their "rabbis" say on Saturdays in front of the entire congregation. They openly admit it is "Rabbinical Talmudism" which they pass off as "Judaism."

Issac Reid
Issac Reid

Fred you are the laughing stock. Bye

Alexander Ioannidis
Alexander Ioannidis

It's ok, Isaac laughed at me too, without using any facts to back up his claim as usual

Bruce Johnson
Bruce Johnson

Republicans have to wait till they get off of work, before they can go vote.. democrats don't have that problem.

Ed Crenshaw
Ed Crenshaw

Come on conservatives in Dist 6 ...VOTE... Or you will end up with this Liberal wolf in sheep's clothing \U0001f601

Alexander Ioannidis
Alexander Ioannidis

Ossoff is toast and it's gonna be funny. Dems spend 8.5 million dollars on Ossoff, and 97% of it is from outside GA. If you think Ossoff actually cares about GA, then you are living in fantasyland

Bruce McPherson
Bruce McPherson

The amount is worse almost 14 million is the last number I saw.

Alexander Ioannidis
Alexander Ioannidis

This is the last official amount, but then again, facts don't matter to liberals or to democrats, they just care about an agenda

Joe Fincher
Joe Fincher

Come on Alexander Ioannidis! Liberals think? Let's be realistic here....

Marie Shaddix Petree
Marie Shaddix Petree

What facts do you have that Ossoff would not care for GA? Plenty of Republican money from outside, but guess it is ok as long as it is a Republican. He may not win, but we will eventually bring this right wing train wreck to an end in GA and make this state the great state it could be.

Anna Miller Grabowski
Anna Miller Grabowski

I am very confused about you, Alexander Ioannidis. Your fb page shows that you support refugees. You should know that the Trump gang and the GOP could not care less about the plight of anyone but the very rich. You should be supporting Jon Ossoff.

Alexander Ioannidis
Alexander Ioannidis

Wait, the Republicans only care about the rich? It's Ossoff who has over 8 million dollars in donations from outside of Georgia. U think he cares about the common man? All he cares about is succumbing to the will of Nancy Pelosi and her neoliberal cronies. As for the refugees, I care about them a lot. I hope we can come up with a good vetting process and let them in the country. I'm also going to Greece for a month in July to work with them. Not all of the GOP is opposed to them and I never voted for Trump (or Hillary) either. I support Judson Hill because he's a great candidate. Also, Ossoff supports abortion and reckless spending, Hill doesn't

Bernard Basiliere Jr.
Bernard Basiliere Jr.

Oh so your all worried about what he would do for Georgia. What has any republican done for your state NOTHING but keep you believing they have all the answers to keep you brook and uneducated. WAKE UP.

Issac Reid
Issac Reid

I had to laugh at Alexander Ioannidis. He stupid oh well

Kerry Jo Ricketts
Kerry Jo Ricketts

Republicans have invested 10 million dollars in this race as well.

Alexander Ioannidis
Alexander Ioannidis

95% of it isn't from outside Georgia and there are over 15 candidates

Marie Shaddix Petree
Marie Shaddix Petree

I will not get my hopes up, GA is not a progressive state we will remain backward as long as we continue to elect backward thinking representatives. Ossoff would be a refreshing change to move us forward, but his chances of winning without an R beside his name is, unfortunately, slim to none. I hope I am wrong and Ossoff wins.

Marc Craven
Marc Craven

Marie, get educated about ossoff.. he'll make you lose!! Stay a winner!!

Ken Wats
Ken Wats

By not progressive do you mean that we; Like things fine just like they are or We dont want foreigners taking our jobs or We like the Constitution as it is written or We dont wont muslims beheading people or shooting up every place or We want to keep the guns like our founding fathers promised us or We dont like to use abortion for birth control or We kinda like to see our old Southern flag seen in public still. Im not sure what you mean by not being progressive. If it ant BROKE DONT FIX IT.

Marie Shaddix Petree
Marie Shaddix Petree

Marc Craven Of course a Republican will likely win, the gerry mandering almost makes that a 100% sure bet. I will never support the Republican agenda as it is today. And what is it that I need to be educated about? I have met him and researched him and I like what I have learned.

Ken Wats
Ken Wats

Marie Shaddix Petree So you mite say that it is JUST LIKE YOURS. Just one ignorant persons opinion. Or do you have worldly wisdom and everybody that dont agree with you is stupid. Thats the democratic way. " Either you agree with me or you are a stupid idiot". LoL

Ken Wats
Ken Wats

Marie Shaddix Petree Is this the forward thinking that you are refering to then:: Seven Short Years Have Passed! Before Obama, There was virtually no outlandish presence of Islam in America. • All of a sudden, Islam is taught in schools. Christianity and the bible are banned in schools. • All of a sudden we must allow prayer rugs everywhere and allow for Islamic prayer in schools, airports, and businesses. • All of a sudden we must stop serving pork in prisons. • All of a sudden we are inundated with law suits by Muslims who are offended by American culture. • All of a sudden we must allow burkas to be worn everywhere even though you have no idea who or what is covered up under them. • All of a sudden Muslims are suing employers and refusing to do their jobs if they personally deem it conflicts with Sharia Law. • All of a sudden the Attorney General of the United States vows to prosecute anyone who engages in 'anti-Muslim speech'. • All of a sudden, Jihadists who engage in terrorism and openly admit they acted in the name of Islam and ISIS are emphatically declared they are NOT Islamic by our leaders and/or their actions are determined NOT to be terrorism, but other nebulous terms like 'workplace violence." • All of a sudden, it becomes Policy that Secular Middle East dictators that were benign or friendly to the West, must be replaced by Islamists and the Muslim Brotherhood. • All of a sudden our troops are withdrawn from Iraq and the middle east, giving rise to ISIS. • All of a sudden, America has reduced its nuclear stockpiles to 1950 levels, as Obama's stated goal of a nuke-free America by the time he leaves office continues uninterrupted. • All of a sudden, a deal with Iran must be made at any cost, with a pathway to nuclear weapons and HUNDREDS of BILLIONS of dollars handed over to fund their programs. • All of a sudden America APOLOGIZES to Muslim states and sponsors of terror worldwide for acts of aggression, war, and sabotage THEY perpetrate against our soldiers. • All of a sudden, the American Navy is diminished to 1917 Pre-World War I levels Of only 300 ships. The Army is at pre-1940 levels. The Air Force scraps 500 planes and planned to retire the use of the A-10 Thunderbolt close air support fighter. A further draw down of another 40,000 military personnel is in progress. • All of a sudden half of our aircraft carriers are recalled for maintenance by Obama rendering the Atlantic unguarded, NONE are in the Middle East . • All of a sudden Obama has to empty Guantanamo Bay of captured Jihadists and let them loose in Jihad-friendly Islamic states. He demands to close the facility. • All of a sudden America will negotiate with terrorists and trade FIVE Taliban commanders for a deserter and Jihad sympathizer. • All of a sudden there is no money for American poor, disabled veterans, jobless Americans, hungry Americans, or displaced Americans but there is endless money for Obama's "Syrian refugee" resettlement Programs. • All of sudden there is an ammunition shortage in the USA. • All of a sudden, the most important thing for Obama to do after a mass shooting by two Jihadists, is disarm American citizens. • All of a sudden, the President of the United States cannot attend the Christian funerals of a Supreme Court Justice and a former First Lady. Is this factual enough or is this stupid too?? Just asking.